Severe Storms Likely Mid-South, TN Valley & the Heart of Dixie Sunday PM/Monday AM

The severe weather threat for Sunday evening through Monday morning continues to increase into a likely status and I anticipate the SPC to update their convective outlook for DAY 1, early Sunday, to include an area of "Moderate Risk" for severe thunderstorms. This area will likely encompass much of northern Mississippi and the state of Alabama.

SPC Outlook for 6am SUN-6am MON (as of 9pm Sat)
Hatched area likely will be  updated to an area of Moderate Risk

The set up will be similar to the one that took place just 24 hours ago but a bit more intense. Storms will likely begin firing along a cold front from far southeast Missouri into eastern Arkansas around 5-7 pm Sunday evening. Storms will then roll through Memphis the Mid-South and crossing northern Mississippi late evening. Storms will likely begin impacting the Tennessee Valley between Midnight and 4 am, Monday.

My current thinking is that winds and hail will be definite threats but so will isolated tornadoes. The highest risk for tornadoes will set up from Memphis through northern Mississippi and into northwestern Alabama and southeastward into central Alabama.

Forecast Tornado Threat Sunday PM/Monday AM

I will provide another update tomorrow.

Be prepared for any potential severe weather. Make sure you have ways to be notified of impending severe weather.  I highly recommend WeatherCall as the source you should depend on for your weather alerts and warnings. For a minimal fee it will contact you only when a warning is issued for your location so you don't have to worry about being awoken or alarmed by the weather radio for storms miles away. As a meteorologist, I would not recommend a weather safety product unless I was convinced it is a life saver. After the tornadoes of 2011 it became evident on just how life saving WeatherCall is. (Learn more about WeatherCall)

GET WEATHERCALL! 

Additionally, after living through the tornadoes that impacted northern Alabama last Spring and left us in the dark for days, I recommend an emergency crank radio that will keep you informed even with the power is out. This is the one I purchased for my family and recommend to you. It is manufactured by Midland who is the name to buy for weather radios.