Severe Weather Outbreak Possible in the Southeast Wednesday

With an Enhanced Threat for Tornadoes

A volatile weather situation is forecast for much of the Southeastern United States Tuesday night through Wednesday. The highest threat of severe weather for Tuesday night will exist from western Kentucky southwestward into eastern Texas. Already, as of 4 pm CT Monday, numerous tornado watches were in effect encompassing these areas with a few being labeled as “Particularly Dangerous Situation”. This includes the Tornado Watch that is in effect just to the west of the Tennessee Valley from western Kentucky into northwest Mississippi.

The emphasis of the highest severe weather threat will propagate eastward on Wednesday and will encompass the Tennessee Valley. It is advised that you remain weather aware and cautious during the next 24 hours. The threats with the severe weather both tonight and Wednesday will include:
Tornadoes
Large Hail
Damaging Winds
Heavy Rains

Remember to help you stay weather aware, use WAAY 31’s Weather Call service. It will alert you when a warning has been issued for your registered location. This is the same service Chief Meteorologist Brad Huffines and Meteorologist Dale Bader use to keep their families safe.

Tornado Safety Tips

• The safest place to be is an underground shelter, basement or safe room
• If no underground shelter or safe room is available, a small, windowless, interior room or hallway on the lowest level of a sturdy building is the safest alternative
• Mobile homes (manufactured homes) ARE NOT safe during tornadoes. ABANDON these structures and go to the nearest sturdy building or shelter immediately
• If you are caught outdoors, seek shelter in a basement, shelter or sturdy building. If you cannnot quickly walk to a shelter:
• Immediately get into a vehicle, buckle your seat belt and try to drive to the closest sturdy shelter
• If flying debris occurs while you are driving, pull over and park. DO NOT try to outrun a tornado. Now you have the following options as a last resort:
• Stay in your vehicle with the seat belt on. Put your head down below the windows, covering your head with your hands and a blanket if possible
• If you can safely get noticeably lower than the level of the roadway, exit your vehicle, and lie flat in that area, covering your head with your hands.

Tennessee Valley Day-By-Day Forecast

**FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING**

Tonight
Partly Cloudy , Breezy and Muggy for most.
Additional Storms Arriving from West, late, especially west of I-65
Low: 68 Wind: SSW 10-20

Wednesday
Variably Cloudy and Windy with Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Likely During the Afternoon and Evening hours. Storms could contain damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes
Rain Chance (100%)
Low: 68 High 82 (SSW 20-30 and Gusty)

Thursday
Decreasing Cloudiness and Cooler
Low: 51 High: 70 (WNW 5-15)

Friday
Sunny and Nice
Low: 49 High: 77 (NW-SW 5-10)

Saturday
Passing High Clouds
Warmer with Increasing Humidity
Low: 55 High: 82 (S 5-15)

Sunday
PM Thunderstorms Possible
Rain Chance (40%)
Low: 65 High: 82 (SW 10-15)

Monday
AM Thunderstorms Possible
Rain Chance (60%)
Low: 60 High: 70 (W-NW 10-15)

Tuesday
Mostly Sunny
Low: 48 High: 70 (N-NE 5)

Wednesday
Mostly Sunny
Low: 46 High 72 (SW 5-10)

Thursday
Increasing Clouds
Low: 49 High: 74 (SW 5-10)


Thanks for reading,

“Doppler” Dale

Severe Weather Threat Increases Through Wednesday

Time to be Weather Aware

Rain continues to fall across already water logged portions of the Midwest from northeast

Oklahoma to southern Indiana. In the last 24-hours yet another 4 to 8 inches of rain has been

estimated to have fallen by Doppler radar across this region adding to already high water levels on the region’s waterways. Several more locations through out the Mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys are expected to

experience “Major Flooding” conditions.

Some of these include:

Ohio River
Cario, IL
Grand Chain Lock and Dam (Between Paducah, KY and Cario, IL)

Smithland, KY

Mississippi River

Chester, IL

Cape Girardeau, MO
Thebes, MO

Meramec River
Valley Park, MO

Black River

Poplar Bluff, MO

Current River
Doniphan, MO

Wabash River
Carmi, IL

Shoal CreekJoplin, MO

More rain is forecast to fall across much of this region, Monday night through Tuesday, where

additional rainfall totals could range between 3” to 6”.

The Tennessee Valley has been very quiet through the Easter weekend and right through Monday but things will begin to change on Tuesday and definitely for Wednesday. On-going convection across Arkansas, Monday evening, will gradually lift northeastward but there will also be a bit of an eastward push, too. This will help in allowing the potential for a few late night/early morning storms to enter into southern Tennessee and northwest Alabama. A few scattered storms will then remain possible into the mid-morning hours, mainly west of I-65, before decaying out.

The decaying storms will leave behind some lingering boundaries and these boundaries will interact with the daytime heating and provide for the potential of new storm development during Tuesday afternoon. Some of these storms may reach severe limits with the main threat being damaging winds and large hail.
On Wednesday, a potentially significant severe weather event is forecast to set up across the Southeastern U.S. The BIG question remains on the specific locations that will be impacted with the strongest of the storm activity. The potential exists for scattered tornadoes with this weather event.

For this reason, it is advised that you stay up-to-date with the latest forecasts for specific details regarding the severe weather potential. It is also advised that you be prepared and know your storm safety procedures and have either a NOAA Weather Radar, or better yet, WAAY 31’s Weather Call service to notify you of active warnings for your location. If you are not familiar with Weather Call simply click the link and you will be directed to an informative page on the service. You can also sign up immediately from that page, too.


Tornado Safety Tips

• The safest place to be is an underground shelter, basement or safe room
• If no underground shelter or safe room is available, a small, windowless, interior room or hallway on the lowest level of a sturdy building is the safest alternative
• Mobile homes (manufactured homes) ARE NOT safe during tornadoes. ABANDON these structures and go to the nearest sturdy building or shelter immediately
• If you are caught outdoors, seek shelter in a basement, shelter or sturdy building. If you cannnot quickly walk to a shelter:
• Immediately get into a vehicle, buckle your seat belt and try to drive to the closest sturdy shelter
• If flying debris occurs while you are driving, pull over and park. DO NOT try to outrun a tornado. Now you have the following options as a last resort:
• Stay in your vehicle with the seat belt on. Put your head down below the windows, covering your head with your hands and a blanket if possible
• If you can safely get noticeably lower than the level of the roadway, exit your vehicle, and lie flat in that area, covering your head with your hands.

Tennessee Valley Day-By-Day Forecast

Tonight
Partly Cloudy , Breezy and Muggy for most.
Overnight storms to our west could begin to enter into NW AL prior to sunrise
Rain chance 30%
Low: 67 Wind: SSW 10-15

Tuesday
Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Thunderstorms
Strong to Severe Storms Possible, Especially across NW AL and Southern TN
Rain Chance (60%)
Low: 67 High: 80 (SSW 15-25)

Wednesday
Variably Cloudy and Windy with Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Likely During the Afternoon and Evening hours.
Rain Chance (100%)
Low: 68 High 82 (SW-W 15-30 and Gusty)

Thursday
Decreasing Cloudiness and Cooler
Low: 48 High: 68 (WNW 5-15)

Friday
Sunny and Nice
Low: 49 High: 77 (W-S 5)

Saturday
Passing High Clouds
Warmer with Increasing Humidity
Low: 55 High: 80 (S 5-15)




Sunday
PM Thunderstorms Possible
Rain Chance (40%)
Low: 65 High: 82 (SW 10-15)

Monday
AM Thunderstorms Possible
Rain Chance (60%)
Low: 54 High: 70 (W-NW 10-15)

Tuesday
Mostly Sunny
Low: 48 High: 70 (NW 5-10)

Wednesday
Mostly Sunny
Low: 50 High 75 (SW 5-10)


Thanks for reading,

“Doppler” Dale

Severe Weather Risks Return by Midweek

Time to Become Weather Aware, Again

A stalled frontal boundary from Texas into southeast Missouri and along the Ohio River has kept abundant wet weather well to our north and in abundance is an under statement. In just the last 24-hours, portions of Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, Illinois and Kentucky have received in excess of 6” of rain and more is on the way through the middle of the week. This is leading to flash flooding and general river/lake flooding.

Major flooding is already being reported along the Ohio River at the Grand Chain Lock and Dam, near Paducah, where the current (2pm Sunday) water level was 54 feet and the level was expected to continue to rise to 59.5 feet by late week. Major flooding was also being reported along the Ohio River in Cairo, Illinois where the current (4pm Sunday) level was 53.18 feet and the forecast is for the level to continue to rise to 58.5 feet by Friday.

Unfortunately, for much of the already water logged regions to our north, more rain is forecast, several inches more, through midweek. The good news is the stalled out system will finally get a kick and move out of the region as a pattern change takes place but as it does so it will set up an

increase risk of severe weather for much of the southeastern U.S.

For us in the Tennessee Valley, we will see one more quiet day, Monday. I am just expecting a gradual increase in clouds and a very slight chance of a late day, hit-or-miss thunderstorm. By Tuesday, a wave of rain/storms is expected to move through the Tennessee Valley. We may actually see a few rounds of the storminess and a few of the storms could become strong to severe with gusty winds and some large hail. Even though a piece of energy will break away and cross through the Valley, the bulk of the system will remain to our west.

On Wednesday, we will finally see the entire system lift out of the Plains and cross through the Tennessee Valley. As of now, the current forecast set-up would indicate the potential for a significant severe weather day across portions of the Southeast but pinpointing down where and who would be involved is still in question. I highly recommend that you continue to monitor future forecasts over the next couple of days.


Tennessee Valley Day-By-Day Forecast

Tonight
Partly Cloudy
Low: 63 Wind: South 5

Monday
Variably Cloudy, Breezy with a Few Late Day Isolated T-Storms
Rain Chance (20%)
Low: 63 High: 83 (S-SW 15-20)

Tuesday
Mostly Cloudy with Thunderstorms
Strong to Severe Storms Possible
Rain Chance (60%)
Low: 65 High: 80 (S-SW 15-25)

Wednesday
Mostly Cloudy and Windy with Strong to Severe Thunderstorms
Rain Chance (80%)
Low: 65 High 82 (SW-W 15-30 and Gusty)

Thursday
Mostly Sunny and Quiet Pleasant
Low: 48 High: 72 (WNW 5-10)

Friday
Sunny and Nice
Low: 49 High: 77 (W-S 5)

Saturday
Passing High Clouds
Warmer with Increasing Humidity
Low: 55 High: 80 (S 5-15)
Sunday
Thunderstorms Possible
Rain Chance (40%)
Low: 65 High: 82 (SW 10-15)

Monday
Thunderstorms Possible
Rain Chance (60%)
Low: 65 High: 72 (W-NW 10-15)

Tuesday
AM Showers
Rain Chance (30%)
Low: 48 High: 70 (NW 5-10)


Thanks for reading,

“Doppler” Dale

More Thunder for Thursday

An Early Taste of Summer for Your Easter Weekend

A frontal boundary that will sink south of the Tennessee Valley and into central Alabama, tonight, will become nearly stationary. At the same time, warm and moisture rich air will continue to flow northward out of the Gulf of Mexico and glide up and over the frontal boundary. This set-up will lead to additional redevelopment of showers and t-storms across central and northern Alabama late tonight. The frontal boundary will then begin lifting back to the north as a warm-front during the day, Thursday. As it does, it will allow the thunderstorm activity to move northward across the Valley and into Tennessee. The thunderstorm activity will not be continuous and also will not be SEVERE. However, locally heavy rain is possible.

The front will lift far enough to our north on Friday to push the rain activity to our north. All we will be left with is warm and muggy air and a variably cloudy sky. Little change is expected on Saturday. Each day could see an isolated t-storm but chances are only at 10%. For Easter Sunday, a frontal boundary will near the Valley and it may become close enough to help trigger off a few additional t-storms in the afternoon hours but rain chances will still remain on the low end, 20%.

Tennessee Valley Day-By-Day Forecast

Tonight

Scattered Showers and T-Storms

Rain Chance (60%)

Low: 55 Wind: NNE 5-15

Thursday

Cloudy with Occasional Showers and T-Storms

Rain Chance (60%)

Low: 55 High: 70 (NE-SE 5-10)

Friday

Variably Cloudy, Warm and Humid

Low: 63 High: 83 (S-SW 10-15)

Saturday

Partly Cloudy, Warm and Humid

Low: 63 High: 85 (S-SW 10-15)

Sunday
Variably Cloudy, Warm and Humid
Isolated PM T-Storms. Rain Chance (20%)
Low: 63 High: 84 (SW 5-10)

Monday
Variably Cloudy, Breezy with a Few Isolated T-Storms
Rain Chance (20%)
Low: 63 High: 86 (SW 10-20)

Tuesday
Mostly Cloudy with Strong T-Storms
Rain Chance (60%)
Low: 65 High: 82 (SW 10-20)6

Wednesday
Cloudy and Cooler with a Chance for T-Storms
Rain Chance (60%)
Low: 58 High 75 (W-NW 5-15)

Thursday

Mostly Sunny

Low: 48 High: 73 (NE-SE Light to 5)

Friday
Variably Cloudy with a Chance for Showers (30%)
Low: 54 High: 80 (S-SW 5-15)

Thanks for reading,

“Doppler” Dale