Possible Tornado Claims a Tennessee Life

A Quieter Remainder of the Work Week

After a rather busy Monday with a couple of rounds of severe storms, the remainder of the work week is looking nice and quiet. Most of the severe weather associated with the storms, Monday, across the Tennessee Valley was related to damaging winds; however, there was a report of a possible tornado that touched down south of the community of Tullahoma in Franklin County, Tennessee. This storm is to blame for the death of a gentleman while injuring others.

The Tennessee Valley was not the only part of the nation to be impacted by severe weather, Monday. Severe storms with damaging winds impacted the Mid-Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley and into the Appalachians, as well. While further north, several reports of very heavy rainfall and flash flooding occurred.

The good news is the remainder of the work week looks very quiet and rather pleasant. It will be quite a bit cooler with nearly seasonal temperatures, Tuesday. Cool, crisp mornings will continue through midweek but afternoon high temperatures will again gradually climb through the 60s to near 70!

Another robust storm system sets its aim to the center of the nation by late week and into the Tennessee Valley by Saturday. It will bring yet another threat for strong to severe thunderstorms with it.

Tennessee Valley Day-By-Day Forecast

Tuesday

Sunny and Much Cooler

Low: 39 High: 60 (Winds NE 5)

Wednesday

Passing High Cloudiness

Low: 39 High: 66 (Winds Light and Variable)

Thursday

Mostly Sunny

Low: 40 High: 69 (Winds SSE 5-15)

Friday

Variably Cloudy, Breezy and Mild with a Slight Chance for Showers (20%)

Low: 50 High: 70 (Wind S 10-15)

Saturday

Mostly Cloudy and Windy with a chance for strong thunderstorms (40%)

Low: 52 High: 72 (Wind SW to NW 15-25)

Sunday

Cloudy and Colder with a few showers possible (20%)

Low: 38 High: 52 (Wind NNW 10-15)

Monday

Mostly Sunny

Low: 32 High: 56 (Wind E-SE 5)

Tuesday

Clouds Gradually Increasing

Low: 39 High: 65 (Wind S 5-10)

Wednesday

Partly Cloudy with a chance for thunderstorms (30%)

Low: 50 High: 70 (Wind SSW 10-15)

Thanks for reading,

“Doppler” Dale

Work Week To Begin with a Bang

Severe Storms Likely for the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys

A robust storm system that brought snow showers and even a dusting of snow to locations in California not accustomed to seeing the “white stuff”, such as the hills of San Francisco and

Hollywood is now ready to eject out of the southwestern U.S. and head for the Tennessee and

Ohio Valleys for Monday.

In its advance, an increasingly more moist and unstable atmosphere is developing across much of the Mississippi Valley east into the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys and the ingredients are coming together for a severe weather event that could be rather large in its coverage.

For Sunday night into the predawn hours of Monday, the severe weather will be confined west of the Tennessee Valley and will be impacting the Southern Plains, Mid-Mississippi Valley and Mid South. Through 7 am Monday, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC), has issued a “Moderate Risk”

for severe weather for the Missouri Bootheel, much of Arkansas and western Kentucky/Tennessee. The main threat of this severe weather will be damaging winds and hail with

some isolated tornadoes possible.

As the vigorous upper level support of this storm system moves into the Missouri Bootheel and the Ohio Valley, Monday, the emphasis of the severe weather will shift east-northeastward through the Tennessee Valley and into the Ohio Valley and Appalachians. Again, SPC has issued a rather large area of “Moderate Risk” for severe weather encompassing much of these areas. All

of northern Alabama and southern-middle Tennessee is included in this heightened risk area for severe weather.

For the Tennessee Valley, the expected time of arrival of the storms during the morning hours is

during a period typically not as favorable for severe storms; however, they can’t be completely ruled out.

The expectations with this event is that the surface pressure gradient will already be stiff in advance of the storms arrival and that will translate into strong southerly winds of 15 to 25

mph.. Mix in gusts from thunderstorms and winds could easily reach severe limits. This is what we currently believe will be the main threat through much of the morning hours, damaging wind gusts, with some hail possible, too. The threat for tornadoes is forecast to be “low”.

By midday, the axis of the storms will be shifting into the center of the Tennessee Valley and will be impacting the communities of Huntsville, Athens, Fayetteville and Decatur.

Because of the expected increasing instability that will be allowed to develop in advance of the storms, east of I-65, the threat for severe weather is expected to increase as the storms propagate eastward through the late morning hours and into the afternoon. The threat for a few isolated tornadoes will also increase a bit during the afternoon. This will mainly be confined for the southeastern portions of the Tennessee Valley (Marshall, Jackson and DeKalb Counties).

Stay weather aware, Monday, and be safe! A great way to stay weather aware for anywhere in the Tennessee Valley or the United States is with Storm Force 31 Weather Call. Click the link to learn more and to sign-up and register.

I will be posting occasional updates on my Facebook page and I invite you to follow me for the latest updates.

Tennessee Valley Day-By-Day Forecast

Monday

Cloudy with a line of thunderstorms pushing eastward through the Valley. Chance of precipitation (90%). Some thunderstorms could be strong to severe with gusty winds and some hail.

Storm Timing:

The Shoals, Red Bay, Waynesboro: 7 AM-11AM

Athens, Fayetteville, Huntsville, Decatur, Pulaski: 10AM-1PM

Scottsboro, Guntersville, Ft. Payne, Boaz, Chattanooga: Noon-3PM

Low: 63 High: 72 (Winds SSW shifting to NW 15-25)

Tuesday

Sunny and Cooler

Low: 39 High: 62 (Winds NE 5)

Wednesday

Just a few afternoon clouds

Low: 37 High: 66 (Winds Light and Variable)

Thursday

Mostly Sunny

Low: 40 High: 69 (Winds S 5)

Friday

Variably Cloudy, Breezy and Mild with a Slight Chance for Showers (20%)

Low: 50 High: 70 (Wind S 10-15)

Saturday

Mostly Cloudy with a chance for strong thunderstorms (40%)

Low: 52 High: 72 (Wind SW to NW 10-15)

Sunday

Variably Cloudy with a few showers possible (20%)

Colder

Low: 38 High: 52 (Wind NNW 10-15)

Monday

Mostly Sunny

Low: 32 High: 56 (Wind SE 5)

Tuesday

Partly Cloudy

Low: 36 High: 62 (Wind S 5-10)

Thanks for reading,

“Doppler” Dale

A Warm & Breezy Weekend

And Generally Dry but May Have To Dodge a Raindrop or Two

The weekend is just around the corner and the question you may be asking yourself, “Will this great weather hold on for the weekend?” The mild temperatures definitely will but we are going to have to mix in a few scattered rain showers, mainly Friday night and Saturday morning. As a result, the weekend as a whole should be relatively good, especially considering we are still in February.

Some more substantial changes are looking more likely for next week. A couple of cold fronts are going to traverse through the northern half of the nation and will be trying to make their way southward. It appears that one may do just that, Monday. As it does, it will bring the Valley its best chance for precipitation in some time with a line of showers and some thunderstorms for Monday night into Tuesday morning. Some brief cooling is expected behind the front, Tuesday, with only seasonal temperatures forecast.

It will be back to above normal, though, the remainder of the forecast period with the possibility of seeing the warmest temperatures so far in 2011 arriving later in the week. This will be determined by the amount of clouds and possible precipitation, though, as it does appear the later half of next week may become a bit unsettled.

This Evening

Mostly Cloudy

Wind: SE 5

Temperatures 60s

Tonight

Mostly Cloudy

Low: 52 Wind: SSW 5

Friday

Mostly Cloudy and Staying Warm. Slight Chance for a Late Day Showers (20%)

Low: 50 High: 68 (Wind SW-NW 5-10)

Saturday

Mostly Cloudy with a slight chance for a few AM sct’d showers (20%)

Low: 53 High: 65 (Wind NE-SE 5)

Sunday

Variably Cloudy, Breezy and Warm

Low: 51High: 71 (Wind SSW 10-15)

Monday

Variably Cloudy with a chance for Late PM Storms (20%)

Low: 52 High: 74 (Winds SW 10-15)

Tuesday

Morning Showers/Storms Possible (20%), Then Decreasing Cloudiness

Low: 45 High: 58 (Winds N-NE 5)

Wednesday

Sunny start with increasing high clouds

Low: 38 High: 63 (Winds SE-S 5-10)

Thursday

Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers Possible (30%)

Low: 45 High: 68 (Winds SSW 5-15)

Friday

Cloudy with Showers and T-Storms (40%)

Low: 55 High: 72 (Wind SW 10-15)

Saturday

Cloudy with scattered showers (30%)

Low: 56 High: 72 (Wind SW to NW 10-15)

Thanks for reading,

“Doppler” Dale

String of GREAT Weather to Continue

Slight Chance for Some Rain Showers Late Week

No major changes made to the forecast, again. Only question mark is the possibility of seeing some scattered rain showers, mainly in the morning, on Saturday. Yest

erday, it appeared the front may slide through far enough to our south that we would be dry but today, like Sunday, it appears it will be hovering near by. We will just have to watch it and hammer out the details as we near the weekend. Until then it looks great!

Tennessee Valley Day-To-Day Forecast

This Evening

Mostly Clear

Wind: SE Lt-5

Temperatures 50s

Tonight

Some Clouds Returning

Low: 42 Wind: SE Lt-5

Wednesday

Variably Cloudy

Low: 42 High: 66 (Wind S 10-15)

Thursday

Sun and Cloud Mix, Breezy and Warm

Low: 47 High: 74 (Wind S 10-20)

Friday

Mostly Cloudy and Staying Warm. Slight Chance for a Late Day Showers (30%)

Low: 52 High: 72 (Wind SW 10-20)

Saturday

Mostly Cloudy with a slight chance for a few sct’d showers (20%)

Low: 50 High: 67 (Wind N-NE 5-10)

Sunday

Partly Cloudy, Breezy and Warm

Low: 48 High: 70 (Wind SSE 10-15)

Monday

Variably Cloudy with a chance for PM Storms (30%)

Low: 55 High: 73 (Winds SW 10-15)

Tuesday

Mostly Cloudy with a chance for showers (30%)

Low: 50 High: 64 (Winds W to NW 5-10)

Wednesday

Partly Cloudy

Low: 40 High: 62 (Winds SE-S 5-10)

Thursday

Variably Cloudy

Low: 42 High: 68 (Winds S 5-15)

Thanks for reading,

“Doppler” Dale