A chilly morning for many, this morning. with some frost reported, too.
The chill is about to begin to break, though. Temperatures will be rising into the mid and upper 70s along the Mississippi River, Monday and the 80s follow on Tuesday. The warm-up will continue to spread east through midweek but a nosing ridge will set up by late week and that will allow some cooler air to flow south along the Appalachians allowing temperatures to cool back a few degrees in the Southeast next weekend.
The tropics have been active but none of the active storms have been a concern for the U.S. or Caribbean but that could change by next weekend. I will be watching the southern Gulf of Mexico and western Caribbean Sea closely this week for possible development of a closed circulation that could become a tropical storm by next Saturday/Sunday. Then the concern would be the eastern and northern Gulf of Mexico early the week of the 10th. Again this will be watched closely and until I see the white's of its eyes we will have to wait for specifics and details.
If you missed yesterday's blog post I released part one of the 2011-12 Winter Outlook. Make sure you take a look and be watching for part 2 later this week.
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