I have started digging into the Fall 2010 and even Winter 2010 outlooks and in the process have seen some changes in the way the tropics are looking. In addition, a few new reference years are being utilized for this forecast; of them, only 1998 was used in the previous forecast. The other years include 1987 and 1973. For this reason, I am revising this year’s tropical forecast to REDUCE the number of expected named storms from 14 to 10. I am also reducing the number of expected hurricanes from 9 to 7 with only two of these forecast to reach “Major” status, category 3 or higher. Storms making a U.S.
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