The tropics have been quiet so far but will they become more active. The general answer is, "likely" as the normal peak is not until September; however in the short term the pattern still remains rather quiet. There are indications that a tropical wave moving through the western Carribean will move up along the Altantic coast of Central America and develop into a compact area of low pressure over the Yucatan of Mexico and move into Gulf of Mexico late weekend/early next week. It is possible this could be something that would develop further once it makes its way into the Gulf. If it would develop, the eastern Gulf of Mexico would be the most likely area to monitor for a possible landfall location as a trough dipping southward into the eastern U.S. would influence a east-northeast motion. I will continue to monitor over the next couple of days.
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