A look today into the tropics shows a continuation of quiet times which is not unusual for this time of year. There was one tropical wave in the Caribbean but it was being sheared and that will continue to keep the area from organizing further. As we head through the next 7 days a rather strong upper level ridge will develop over the Gulf of Mexico. This could lead to an environment more conducive for tropical development. I will continue to monitor and keep you posted.
Regarding the severe storm threat for tonight into Friday, a nearly stationary frontal boundary will continue to be the firing zone for waves of thunderstorms. Some of these will be severe with damaging winds and hail. A few isolated tornados will also be possible. The risk of severe weather, tonight, exists from northern Texas into the Mid-South, Tennessee Valley and Mid-Atlantic. Little change is anticipated for Friday with a continued risk for some severe storms from southern Kansas southward into northeastern Texas and eastward into the Tennessee Valley.
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